Match

Lugo vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo

LugoPontevedra

The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugo vs Pontevedra?

On Elo ratings, Lugo has 1,996 points and Pontevedra 1,975.

66%22%12%
Lugo winDrawPontevedra win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lugo vs Pontevedra

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 11M. Dauda
  3. 16A. Palma
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 6Kevin Presa
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 3Pere Haro
  4. 4Ibaider Garriz
  1. 1Marc Martínez

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 20Rui Ferreira
  4. 15D. Alba
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Pontevedra have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cacereño(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lugo win, 1 draw, 1 Pontevedra win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Pontevedra 1-1 LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 22, 2025Lugo 1-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 17, 2024Pontevedra 1-0 LugoFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Lugo on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lugo score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lugo1.50.686/157/15
Pontevedra1.51.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lugo sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (22 points from 8 matches) and Pontevedra sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lugo871015422
11Pontevedra8323101011

A question about Lugo vs Pontevedra?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Lugo vs Pontevedra played?
Lugo vs Pontevedra is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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