Match

Cacereño vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres

CacereñoPonferradina

The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Ponferradina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cacereño wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cacereño vs Ponferradina?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,929) and Ponferradina (1,963).

42%31%27%
Cacereño winDrawPonferradina win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cacereño vs Ponferradina

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 9O. Chit
  2. 20Ignacio Tellechea
  3. 18Juan Artola
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Ponferradina

4-3-3
  1. 7C. Calderon
  2. 10Borja Valle
  3. 12Unai Sabroso Lorenzo
  1. 6Fede San Emeterio
  2. 8Arturo Molina
  3. 15O. Vacas
  1. 3Sergio Nieto
  2. 4A. Jelbat
  3. 24Koke
  4. 2David Andújar
  1. 1Álex Domínguez

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ponferradina have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion
Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Zamora(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mirandes(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Cacereño wins, 1 draw, 2 Ponferradina wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Cacereño 0-0 PonferradinaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 2, 2025Ponferradina 2-0 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 1, 2021Cacereño 1-2 PonferradinaCopa del Rey

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Ponferradina on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cacereño1.40.867/156/15
Ponferradina0.91.176/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cacereño sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and Ponferradina sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Cacereño73317412
7Ponferradina83326612

A question about Cacereño vs Ponferradina?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Ponferradina?
The Footlab AI model makes Cacereño the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Ponferradina.
Where and when is Cacereño vs Ponferradina played?
Cacereño vs Ponferradina is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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