Real Calepina vs Pavia: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte
Full time
What was the result of Real Calepina vs Pavia?
Real Calepina won 3-1 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′582074Real Calepina (pen.)
- 72′582075Real Calepina
- 77′V. AlfieroPavia
- 88′582040Real Calepina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Pavia have 3, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Varesina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Vogherese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Brusaporto(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Villa Valle(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Brusaporto(home) | 3-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Breno(home) | 2-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Milan II(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Oltrepò(away) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Calepina score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pavia score 1.5 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Calepina | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pavia | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (42 points from 34 matches) and Pavia sit 15th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 28, 2025Brusaporto2-1Vogherese
- Sep 28, 2025Folgore Caratese0-0Leon Monza e Brianza
- Sep 28, 2025Sondrio0-8Castellanzese
- Sep 28, 2025Villa Valle1-1Varesina
- Sep 28, 2025Caldiero Terme1-1Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Sep 28, 2025Breno2-2Chievo
- Sep 28, 2025Milan II3-0Scanzorosciate
- Sep 28, 2025Oltrepò1-3USD Casatese