Real Jaén vs Hércules: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, Jaén
The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hércules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Jaén wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Hércules?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Real Jaén (1,983) and Hércules (1,901).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Jaén vs Hércules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 9Marco Siverio
- 19M. Keita
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 4J. Pol
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 1J. Morillas
Hércules
4-3-3- 20Andy
- 22Víctor Narro
- 11A. Jimenez
- 18Alejandro Fidalgo
- 37M. Puch-Herrantz
- 14N. Ben Hamed
- 2Samu Vázquez
- 4Javier Rentero
- 23Javi Jiménez
- 15Yago Cantero
- 13A. Blazic
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Jaén have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hércules have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Real Jaén wins, 1 draw, 0 Hércules wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules 0-0 Real Jaén | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hércules | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Jaén sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Hércules sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hércules | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Real Jaén | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
A question about Real Jaén vs Hércules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Jaén vs Hércules?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hércules.
- Where and when is Real Jaén vs Hércules played?
- Real Jaén vs Hércules is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.