Real Madrid vs Ajax: result 1-4 and analysis
UEFA Champions League8th FinalsKick-off on March 5, 2019 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs Ajax?
Ajax won 1-4 on March 5, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 7′H. ZiyechAjax
- 18′David NeresAjax
- 62′D. TadićAjax
- 70′Marco AsensioReal Madrid
- 72′L. SchöneAjax
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ajax have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Barcelona(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 27, 2019 | Barcelona(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Levante(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Ajax(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | Feyenoord(away) | 3-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 24, 2019 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 17, 2019 | NAC Breda(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Heracles(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Real Madrid win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ajax win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2019 | Ajax 1-2 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 4, 2012 | Real Madrid 4-1 Ajax | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Ajax 1-4 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Dec 7, 2011 | Ajax 0-3 Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Real Madrid 3-0 Ajax | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ajax score 3.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Ajax | 3.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 9th in UEFA Champions League (15 points from 8 matches) and Ajax sit 32nd (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy