Match

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: result 4-1 and analysis

La LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid
4-1
Rayo Vallecano

Full time

What was the result of Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Madrid won 4-1 on September 12, 2026.

Goalscorers

  • 14′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid (pen.)
  • 17′Álvaro FernándezReal Madrid
  • 35′J. BellinghamReal Madrid
  • 51′Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano
  • 90′Kylian MbappéReal Madrid

What had the model predicted before the match?

Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Real Madrid win at 86%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 3-0. Actual score: 4-1.

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

Official lineup for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.

Real Madrid

4-2-3-1
  1. 10Kylian Mbappé
  1. 7Vinícius Júnior
  2. 5J. Bellingham
  3. 25Y. Diomande
  1. 20Bernardo Silva
  2. 8F. Valverde
  1. 18Álvaro Fernández
  2. 22A. Rüdiger
  3. 16I. Konaté
  4. 24D. Dumfries
  1. 1T. Courtois

Rayo Vallecano

4-2-3-1
  1. 10Sergio Camello
  1. 18Álvaro García
  2. 4Pedro Díaz
  3. 14G. Tsitaishvili
  1. 8Unai López
  2. 36G. Bouare
  1. 17Adrià Pedrosa
  2. 6P. Ciss
  3. 24F. Lejeune
  4. 2A. Rațiu
  1. 25E. Audero
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What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Madrid
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 8, 2026Inter(home)2-1UEFA Champions League
Sep 4, 2026Real Betis(away)0-1La Liga
Aug 30, 2026Malaga(home)4-0La Liga
Aug 26, 2026Real Sociedad(home)4-1La Liga
Aug 22, 2026Espanyol(away)2-1La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Racing Santander(home)3-2La Liga
Aug 31, 2026Barcelona(away)2-5La Liga
Aug 20, 2026Alaves(home)1-1La Liga
Aug 15, 2026Sevilla(away)1-2La Liga
Aug 8, 2026Ipswich(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Madrid wins, 4 draws, 0 Rayo Vallecano wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Nov 9, 2025Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Real MadridLa Liga
Mar 9, 2025Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga
Dec 14, 2024Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real MadridLa Liga
Feb 18, 2024Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real MadridLa Liga
Nov 5, 2023Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga

Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Madrid score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.5.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Madrid2.20.867/159/15
Rayo Vallecano1.41.5310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Madrid sit 4th in La Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Real Madrid860219818
13Rayo Vallecano722311168

A question about Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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