Match

Real Oruro vs Aurora: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónApertura - 22Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)

Real OruroAurora

The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Real Oruro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aurora wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Oruro vs Aurora?

Aurora starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,493).

37%23%40%
Real Oruro winDrawAurora win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Oruro vs Aurora

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Oruro

4-4-2
  1. 9D. Pinto
  2. 65Adán Alexis Félix Bravo
  1. 33F. Gatti
  2. 30J. Ari Cruz
  3. 26H. Tifner
  4. 6A. Rivera
  1. 31R. J. Balceras Cuellar
  2. 5L. Corulo
  3. 22E. Rivera
  4. 18Y. Calle
  1. 13I. Peña

Aurora

4-1-4-1
  1. 9M. Rangel
  1. 69A. Terrazas
  2. 14H. Sánchez
  3. 10R. Ramallo
  4. 5A. Amarilla
  5. 4I. Vidaurre
  1. 16D. Barro
  2. 23I. Huayhuata
  3. 70J. Torrico
  4. 22J. Velázquez
  1. 12R. Cordano

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:43 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Oruro have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Aurora have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Oruro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Universitario de Vinto(away)3-1Primera División
Oct 6, 2026Real Tomayapo(home)4-0Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 3, 2026Nacional Potosí(away)0-2Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 30, 2026Always Ready(home)2-2Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 27, 2026Real Tomayapo(away)1-2Copa de la División Profesional
Aurora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Nacional Potosí(home)2-2Primera División
Oct 7, 2026ABB(home)2-0Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 3, 2026Real Potosí(away)1-1Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 30, 2026San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home)2-2Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 25, 2026ABB(away)1-0Copa de la División Profesional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Oruro win, 2 draws, 0 Aurora wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 13, 2026Aurora 1-1 Real OruroPrimera División
Sep 17, 2025Real Oruro 5-3 AuroraPrimera División
Apr 25, 2025Aurora 2-2 Real OruroPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Aurora vs Real Oruro on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Oruro score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Oruro1.42.138/159/15
Aurora1.51.177/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Oruro sit 11th in Primera División (24 points from 21 matches) and Aurora sit 6th (31 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Aurora217104332931
11Real Oruro217311355124

A question about Real Oruro vs Aurora?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Oruro vs Aurora?
The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Real Oruro.
Where and when is Real Oruro vs Aurora played?
Real Oruro vs Aurora is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Oruro and Aurora

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