Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 22Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab AI model makes Blooming the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Independiente Petrolero. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blooming wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
On Elo ratings, Blooming has 1,520 points and Independiente Petrolero 1,528.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blooming
4-2-3-1- 29B. Garcés
- 88G. Bazan
- 10R. Hinojosa
- 8Moisés Villarroel
- 6R. Spenhay
- 19F. Ramos
- 22J. Vila
- 24Eduardo Justiniano Vaca
- 44M. Enoumba
- 18J. Gonzáles
- 71G. Almada
Independiente Petrolero
4-4-2- 9Gean
- 20A. Mercado
- 14Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
- 19G. Cristaldo
- 6D. Rojas
- 93Willie
- 34G. Mendoza
- 2S. Torres
- 50Roni Santos
- 3L. Crescencio
- 12Jhunior Vera
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blooming have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Independiente Petrolero have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 1-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 2-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 0-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 0-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Blooming(away) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 3-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Blooming wins, 0 draws, 3 Independiente Petrolero wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Blooming 0-1 Independiente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 5-2 Blooming | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 13, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Blooming | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Blooming 1-0 Independiente Petrolero | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 0-4 Blooming | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero 1-5 Blooming | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
Last archived meeting: Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blooming score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Petrolero score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Independiente Petrolero | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blooming sit 9th in Primera División (27 points from 21 matches) and Independiente Petrolero sit 10th (25 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blooming | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 25 |
A question about Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blooming the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Independiente Petrolero.
- Where and when is Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero played?
- Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.