Real Sociedad II vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Zubieta, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,815).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad II
4-2-3-1- 18Gorka Carrera
- 7Dani Díaz
- 14Tomás Carbonell
- 17Lander Astiazarán
- 16Gorka Gorosabel
- 8Ibai Aguirre
- 3Jon Balda
- 29Iker Ropero
- 2Jon Garro
- 5K. Kita
- 1Aitor Fraga
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 6Mikel Vesga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 12Léo Baptistão
- 18F. Bonini
- 21Chumi
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Almeria have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Leicester City U21(away) | 4-0 | Premier League International Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(away) | 1-5 | Premier League International Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Sociedad II wins, 1 draw, 3 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Almeria 5-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Real Sociedad II 2-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| May 13, 2022 | Real Sociedad II 0-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Almeria 3-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Real Sociedad II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad II score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Almeria | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad II sit 16th in Segunda División (8 points from 8 matches) and Almeria sit 3rd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad II vs Almeria played?
- Real Sociedad II vs Almeria is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Zubieta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.