Real Sociedad II vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Zubieta, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab model makes Almeria the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,036 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Almeria have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Real Sociedad II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Almeria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Almeria 5-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Real Sociedad II 2-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| May 13, 2022 | Real Sociedad II 0-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Almeria 3-1 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Almeria vs Real Sociedad II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad II sit 11th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Almeria sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
- The Footlab model makes Almeria the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad II vs Almeria played?
- Real Sociedad II vs Almeria is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Zubieta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.