Eibar vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, Eibar
The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mallorca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eibar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eibar vs Mallorca?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Eibar (2,021) and Mallorca (2,002).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eibar vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 21Iván Gil
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Mallorca
4-1-3-2- 18Fuentes
- 16A. Buksa
- 7Álex Sala
- 20Pablo Torre
- 8Manu Morlanes
- 33Adrian Liso
- 21Raíllo
- 22A. Souhmahoro
- 34M. Calatayud
- 15John Nwankwo
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eibar have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mallorca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Eibar wins, 0 draws, 3 Mallorca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | Eibar 1-2 Mallorca | Copa del Rey |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Eibar 1-2 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Mallorca 2-1 Eibar | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Eibar score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eibar sit 1st in Segunda División (21 points from 8 matches) and Mallorca sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
A question about Eibar vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eibar vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eibar the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mallorca.
- Where and when is Eibar vs Mallorca played?
- Eibar vs Mallorca is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.