Granada CF vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Cadiz?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Granada CF (1,916) and Cadiz (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Cadiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Granada CF win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Cadiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz 2-0 Granada CF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Cadiz 1-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Granada CF 0-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Cadiz 1-1 Granada CF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Cadiz 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Granada CF 0-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 16th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Cadiz sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cadiz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab model makes Granada CF the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Cadiz played?
- Granada CF vs Cadiz is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.