Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo José Luis Orbegozo, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad III the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for San Ignacio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Real Sociedad III (1,787) and San Ignacio (1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad III
Not enough data to predict the Real Sociedad III lineup.
San Ignacio
Not enough data to predict the San Ignacio lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 11:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad III have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; San Ignacio have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Erandio(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sodupe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amurrio Club(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sodupe(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Amurrio Club(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Sociedad III win, 2 draws, 0 San Ignacio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Real Sociedad III 0-0 San Ignacio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | San Ignacio 2-3 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 23, 2019 | San Ignacio 3-3 Real Sociedad III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad III score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Ignacio score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad III | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| San Ignacio | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad III sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (18 points from 10 matches) and San Ignacio sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Sociedad III | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 18 |
| 10 | San Ignacio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad III the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for San Ignacio.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio played?
- Real Sociedad III vs San Ignacio is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo José Luis Orbegozo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.