Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero played?

Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Real Unión de Tenerife

Mensajero

The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Mensajero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero?

Mensajero starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,756).

Real Unión de Tenerife win37 %

Draw32 %

Mensajero win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión de Tenerife have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mensajero have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Unión de Tenerife
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Lanzarote(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Herbania(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Las Palmas III(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Arucas(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Mensajero win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 8, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife 0-1 Mensajero	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 9, 2025	Mensajero 2-0 Real Unión de Tenerife	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mensajero score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Unión de Tenerife	1.0	0.7	6	3/15	3/15
Mensajero	1.3	0.9	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (45 points from 34 matches) and Mensajero sit 4th (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51	31	63
10	Real Unión de Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34	32	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero?: The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Mensajero.
Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero played?: Real Unión de Tenerife vs Mensajero is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.