Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lanzarote wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote?
On Elo ratings, Playas Sotavento has 1,621 points and Lanzarote 1,718.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Playas Sotavento
Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.
Lanzarote
Not enough data to predict the Lanzarote lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Lanzarote have 3, 10 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Marino(away) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Playas Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 6; Lanzarote score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playas Sotavento | 0.7 | 3.2 | 0 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| Lanzarote | 0.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Playas Sotavento sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (1 point from 5 matches) and Lanzarote sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
A question about Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lanzarote the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Playas Sotavento.
- Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote played?
- Playas Sotavento vs Lanzarote is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 15, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsVillaverde Norte
- Nov 15, 2026MarinovsTenerife C
- Nov 15, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Bartolomé
- Nov 15, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsEstrella
- Nov 15, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsMensajero
- Nov 15, 2026Laguna de DuerovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Nov 15, 2026Los LlanosvsAnaza