Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé?
Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; San Bartolomé have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 16, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlético Paso(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Panadería Pulido win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 San Bartolomé win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Panadería Pulido 0-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | San Bartolomé 0-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | San Bartolomé 1-1 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Panadería Pulido 1-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Panadería Pulido 3-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | San Bartolomé 0-2 Panadería Pulido | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panadería Pulido | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panadería Pulido sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (55 points from 34 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 14th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Panadería Pulido | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 55 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé played?
- Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026San Fernando CDvsSan Miguel
- Nov 15, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsVillaverde Norte
- Nov 15, 2026MarinovsTenerife C
- Nov 15, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsEstrella
- Nov 15, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsMensajero
- Nov 15, 2026Laguna de DuerovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Nov 15, 2026Los LlanosvsAnaza
- Nov 15, 2026Playas SotaventovsLanzarote