Match

Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, Vega de San Mateo

Panadería PulidoSan Bartolomé

The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé?

Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,707).

Panadería Pulido win62 %
Draw23 %
San Bartolomé win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panadería Pulido have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; San Bartolomé have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Panadería Pulido
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026UD San Fernando(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026San Miguel(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Atlético Paso(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolomé
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Arucas(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Panadería Pulido win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 San Bartolomé win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Panadería Pulido 0-0 San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 27, 2025San Bartolomé 0-2 Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 5, 2025San Bartolomé 1-1 Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 23, 2024Panadería Pulido 1-1 San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 2, 2024Panadería Pulido 3-1 San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 14, 2023San Bartolomé 0-2 Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Panadería Pulido1.01.238/155/15
San Bartolomé1.11.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Panadería Pulido sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (55 points from 34 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 14th (36 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Panadería Pulido3415109473355
14San Bartolomé3481214305536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé?
The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for San Bartolomé.
Where and when is Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé played?
Panadería Pulido vs San Bartolomé is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Vega de San Mateo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Panadería Pulido and San Bartolomé

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