Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, Yaiza (Lanzarote)
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Sur Yaiza the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Estrella. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella?
Unión Sur Yaiza starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,617).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Sur Yaiza
Not enough data to predict the Unión Sur Yaiza lineup.
Estrella
4-3-3- AAdrián Socorro
- MMarco
- AAlejo
- KKevin Suárez
- VVictor Jesús Lorenzo Lorenzo
- FFede Manzi
- JJaime
- FFran Ramírez
- IIan Bolaños Gracia
- AAythami Artiles Oliva
- AArturo Caballero
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Sur Yaiza have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Estrella have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unión Sur Yaiza win, 1 draw, 0 Estrella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Unión Sur Yaiza 2-1 Estrella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Estrella 2-2 Unión Sur Yaiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Estrella | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Sur Yaiza sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (10 points from 7 matches) and Estrella sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Estrella | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Sur Yaiza the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Estrella.
- Where and when is Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella played?
- Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026San Fernando CDvsSan Miguel
- Nov 15, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsVillaverde Norte
- Nov 15, 2026MarinovsTenerife C
- Nov 15, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Bartolomé
- Nov 15, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsMensajero
- Nov 15, 2026Laguna de DuerovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Nov 15, 2026Los LlanosvsAnaza
- Nov 15, 2026Playas SotaventovsLanzarote