Match

Real vs 1º Dezembro: prediction and stats

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 7Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estádio do Real SC, Queluz

Real1º Dezembro

The Footlab AI model makes Real the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for 1º Dezembro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real vs 1º Dezembro?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Real (1,739) and 1º Dezembro (1,817).

39%28%33%
Real winDraw1º Dezembro win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real vs 1º Dezembro

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real

Not enough data to predict the Real lineup.

1º Dezembro

4-3-3
  1. 17A. Sapara
  2. 20Harramiz
  3. 11Isabelinha
  1. 8Vitó
  2. 27P. Fuhrer
  3. 42L. Tavares
  1. 44C. Gomes
  2. 26J. Freitas
  3. 2P. Ramos
  4. 13J. Bernardo
  1. JJoao Moreira

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; 1º Dezembro have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Juventude Évora(home)4-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Oct 18, 2026Clube 1992(away)8-0Gaúcho - 3
Oct 14, 2026SC Rio Grande(away)2-1Gaúcho - 3
Oct 11, 2026Vitoria Setubal(away)1-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Oct 10, 2026Panambi(home)3-3Gaúcho - 3
1º Dezembro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Lajense(away)1-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Sep 13, 2026Amora(home)1-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Sep 6, 2026FC Serpa(away)1-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D
Aug 30, 2026Real(home)0-1Taça de Portugal
Aug 16, 2026Imortal Albufeira(away)0-5Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real win, 0 draws, 1 1º Dezembro win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 20261º Dezembro 0-1 RealTaça de Portugal
Jan 5, 20201º Dezembro 1-0 RealCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D

Last archived meeting: 1º Dezembro vs Real on Aug 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real score 3.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1º Dezembro score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real3.11.269/1510/15
1º Dezembro1.11.548/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Real vs 1º Dezembro?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real vs 1º Dezembro?
The Footlab AI model makes Real the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for 1º Dezembro.
Where and when is Real vs 1º Dezembro played?
Real vs 1º Dezembro is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estádio do Real SC, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real and 1º Dezembro

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