Rebel vs Penuel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shkilnyi, Illichivsk
The Footlab AI model makes Rebel the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Penuel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rebel vs Penuel?
Rebel starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,610 vs 1,409).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rebel vs Penuel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rebel
Not enough data to predict the Rebel lineup.
Penuel
Not enough data to predict the Penuel lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rebel have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Penuel have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lozova(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oleksandria II(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 3-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(home) | 1-8 | Druha Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Atlet(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Trostianets(home) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 0-3 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Rebel wins, 1 draw, 0 Penuel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Penuel 0-3 Rebel | Druha Liga |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Penuel 1-1 Rebel | Druha Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Rebel 1-0 Penuel | Druha Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Penuel 2-3 Rebel | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rebel score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penuel score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebel | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Penuel | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rebel sit 5th in Druha Liga (11 points from 8 matches) and Penuel sit 9th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
| 9 | Penuel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Rebel vs Penuel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rebel vs Penuel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rebel the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Penuel.
- Where and when is Rebel vs Penuel played?
- Rebel vs Penuel is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shkilnyi, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.