Recreativo Huelva vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Recreativo Huelva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Ciudad de Lucena starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,952 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ciudad de Lucena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva 1-3 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Ciudad de Lucena 2-0 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Recreativo Huelva 1-0 Ciudad de Lucena | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Ciudad de Lucena 1-1 Recreativo Huelva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo Huelva vs Ciudad de Lucena on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ciudad de Lucena | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 25 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs Ciudad de Lucena?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Lucena the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Recreativo Huelva.
- Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
- Recreativo Huelva vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.