Estepona vs Sanluqueño: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Sanluqueño?
Estepona starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estepona vs Sanluqueño
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estepona
4-3-3- 20Daniel Sancho
- 10Ale Conteras
- 16D. Ballarin
- 15Javi Duarte
- 6J. Aguilera
- 17S. Baradji
- 26A. Gonzalez
- 3A. Candelas
- 5Titi Fernández
- 22José Caro
- 1J. Ruiz
Sanluqueño
Not enough data to predict the Sanluqueño lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sanluqueño have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Las Palmas II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sanluqueño score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Sanluqueño | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (12 points from 9 matches) and Sanluqueño sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estepona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Sanluqueño | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Estepona vs Sanluqueño?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Sanluqueño?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estepona the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Sanluqueño.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Sanluqueño played?
- Estepona vs Sanluqueño is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027AntonianovsTenerife II
- Apr 25, 2027BadajozvsSevilla Atletico
- Apr 25, 2027Linares DeportivovsXerez
- Apr 25, 2027Recreativo HuelvavsCiudad de Lucena
- Apr 25, 2027TamaraceitevsDon Benito
- Apr 25, 2027Las Palmas IIvsMijas Las Lagunas
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético PasovsReal Betis II
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético CentralvsMarbella