Linares Deportivo vs Xerez: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, Linares
The Footlab model makes Linares Deportivo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Linares Deportivo vs Xerez?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Linares Deportivo (1,881) and Xerez (1,930).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Linares Deportivo have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Melilla(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portuense(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Linares Deportivo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Xerez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Xerez 1-1 Linares Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Linares Deportivo 2-2 Xerez | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 4, 2025 | Xerez 2-0 Linares Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Linares Deportivo 0-2 Xerez | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Linares Deportivo on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Linares Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linares Deportivo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Xerez | 0.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Linares Deportivo sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (47 points from 34 matches) and Xerez sit 4th (59 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Xerez | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 59 |
| 8 | Linares Deportivo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 45 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Linares Deportivo vs Xerez?
- The Footlab model makes Linares Deportivo the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Linares Deportivo vs Xerez played?
- Linares Deportivo vs Xerez is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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