Tamaraceite vs Don Benito: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Don Benito. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamaraceite vs Don Benito?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Tamaraceite (1,866) and Don Benito (1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamaraceite have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Don Benito have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tamaraceite win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Don Benito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2022 | Tamaraceite 0-0 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Don Benito 2-0 Tamaraceite | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tamaraceite vs Don Benito on May 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Don Benito | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamaraceite vs Don Benito?
- The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Don Benito.
- Where and when is Tamaraceite vs Don Benito played?
- Tamaraceite vs Don Benito is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Juan Guedes, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027AntonianovsTenerife II
- Apr 25, 2027BadajozvsSevilla Atletico
- Apr 25, 2027Linares DeportivovsXerez
- Apr 25, 2027Recreativo HuelvavsCiudad de Lucena
- Apr 25, 2027Las Palmas IIvsMijas Las Lagunas
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético PasovsReal Betis II
- Apr 25, 2027EsteponavsSanluqueño
- Apr 25, 2027Atlético CentralvsMarbella