Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Ried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried?
Red Bull Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (2,071 vs 1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Bull Salzburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ried have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Red Bull Salzburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg 4-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Ried 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 Ried | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Ried 0-3 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| May 1, 2022 | Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 Ried | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried on Nov 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th in Bundesliga (7 points from 3 matches) and Ried sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Ried.
- Where and when is Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried played?
- Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.