Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Raiffeisen Arena, Linz
The Footlab AI model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Sturm Graz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lask Linz wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
On Elo ratings, Lask Linz has 2,105 points and Sturm Graz 2,095.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lask Linz
5-3-2- 27C. Lang
- 11S. Kalajdzic
- 6M. Bogarde
- 30S. Horvath
- 10R. Ljubičić
- 43Alemão
- 16A. Andrade
- 4X. Mbuyamba
- 20K. Jørgensen
- 2G. Bello
- 1L. Jungwirth
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1- 14O. Diakité
- 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
- 19S. Seidl
- 43Jacob Peter Hödl
- 78V. Matoshi
- 39Luca Weinhandl
- 2J. Quarshie
- 23A. Malic
- 27L. Balbo
- 28J. Heil
- 53D. Khudyakov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lask Linz have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Sturm Graz have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 3-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | First Vienna(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TSV Hartberg(away) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lask Linz win, 2 draws, 3 Sturm Graz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sturm Graz 2-1 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz 1-1 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lask Linz 1-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sturm Graz 1-3 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Lask Linz 0-2 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Sturm Graz 4-2 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Sturm Graz vs Lask Linz on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lask Linz score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 2.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Sturm Graz | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lask Linz sit 3rd in Bundesliga (16 points from 8 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 4th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Sturm Graz.
- Where and when is Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz played?
- Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Raiffeisen Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.