Match

Redcar Athletic vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Green Lane, Redcar, North Yorkshire

Redcar AthleticAFC Emley

The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Redcar Athletic vs AFC Emley?

Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,720).

Redcar Athletic win66 %
Draw21 %
AFC Emley win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redcar Athletic have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; AFC Emley have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Redcar Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Rylands(away)5-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Lancaster City(home)3-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Quorn(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Workington(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Bury(home)0-0Non League Premier - Northern
AFC Emley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ashton United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Leek Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026Curzon Ashton(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Hyde United(away)0-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Redcar Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AFC Emley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026AFC Emley 0-0 Redcar AthleticNon League Div One - Northern East
Aug 23, 2025Redcar Athletic 0-2 AFC EmleyNon League Div One - Northern East

Last archived meeting: AFC Emley vs Redcar Athletic on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Redcar Athletic score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Redcar Athletic2.10.969/158/15
AFC Emley1.41.148/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Redcar Athletic sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 5 matches) and AFC Emley sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Redcar Athletic532010211
9AFC Emley5221658

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Redcar Athletic vs AFC Emley?
The Footlab model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for AFC Emley.
Where and when is Redcar Athletic vs AFC Emley played?
Redcar Athletic vs AFC Emley is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Green Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Redcar Athletic and AFC Emley

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