Bury vs Redcar Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Redcar Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury vs Redcar Athletic?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Bury (1,893) and Redcar Athletic (1,895).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Redcar Athletic have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Redcar Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redcar Athletic 0-0 Bury | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Redcar Athletic vs Bury on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Redcar Athletic score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Redcar Athletic | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury sit 7th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Redcar Athletic sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Redcar Athletic | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Bury | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury vs Redcar Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Redcar Athletic.
- Where and when is Bury vs Redcar Athletic played?
- Bury vs Redcar Athletic is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Alfreton TownvsCurzon Ashton
- Nov 21, 2026WorkingtonvsGainsborough Trinity
- Nov 21, 2026Bamber BridgevsCleethorpes Town
- Nov 21, 2026Lancaster CityvsAshton United
- Nov 21, 2026United of ManchestervsRylands
- Nov 21, 2026Warrington TownvsGuiseley AFC
- Nov 21, 2026Whitby TownvsLeek Town
- Nov 21, 2026QuornvsAvro