Renate vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 16Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renate vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Renate (1,815) and Folgore Caratese (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Renate win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Folgore Caratese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2022 | Folgore Caratese 1-2 Renate | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Folgore Caratese vs Renate on Aug 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renate | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renate sit 16th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Renate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renate vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Renate vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Renate vs Folgore Caratese is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.