Match

Renate vs Pergolettese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 32Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda

RenatePergolettese

The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renate vs Pergolettese?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Renate (1,737) and Pergolettese (1,690).

45%30%25%
Renate winDrawPergolettese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Renate vs Pergolettese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Renate

4-3-3
  1. 92N. Anelli
  2. 47L. Kerrigan
  3. 7J. Italeng
  1. 11A. Delcarro
  2. 25F. Vassallo
  3. 14M. Calì
  1. 5S. Auriletto
  2. 13A. Moțoc
  3. 21C. Riviera
  4. 29T. Botrini
  1. 30M. Avella

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 4M. Arini
  2. 20M. Tremolada
  3. 80Z. Jaohuari
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 76L. Roversi
  3. 15C. Dell'Orco
  4. 73E. Bassi
  1. 22F. Doldi

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pergolettese have 3, 9 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Giana Erminio(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Treviso(home)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Trento(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Lecco(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Renate wins, 1 draw, 1 Pergolettese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Renate 2-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Aug 24, 2025Pergolettese 0-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2025Pergolettese 1-1 RenateCoppa Italia Serie C
Apr 18, 2025Renate 2-1 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Dec 7, 2024Pergolettese 0-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Jan 20, 2024Renate 1-5 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Renate vs Pergolettese on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pergolettese score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renate1.11.639/159/15
Pergolettese0.70.884/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renate sit 20th in Serie C - Girone A (4 points from 9 matches) and Pergolettese sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Pergolettese92525611
20Renate90458144

A question about Renate vs Pergolettese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renate vs Pergolettese?
The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Renate vs Pergolettese played?
Renate vs Pergolettese is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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