Novara vs Treviso: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 32Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
The Footlab AI model makes Treviso the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Treviso wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novara vs Treviso?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Novara (1,659) and Treviso (1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Novara vs Treviso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Novara
4-3-3- 7E. Lanini
- 14M. Romano
- 9D. Zuppel
- 99G. Basso
- 19R. Collodel
- 11N. Ledonne
- 58M. Miceli
- 3S. Lartey
- 5F. Lorenzini
- 28A. Cannavaro
- 33F. Brancolini
Treviso
4-3-3- 9C. Tommasini
- 10F. Ciuferri
- 17L. Paganini
- 27R. Gucher
- 2A. Brigati
- 25F. Romeo
- 5D. Bove
- 8D. Cappelletti
- 13A. Maestrelli
- 94D. Liotti
- 30T. Nobile
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Treviso have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cittadella(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Renate(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Treviso score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Treviso | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novara sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (9 points from 9 matches) and Treviso sit 6th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Novara vs Treviso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novara vs Treviso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Treviso the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Novara.
- Where and when is Novara vs Treviso played?
- Novara vs Treviso is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.