Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ehime FC (1,711) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ehime FC have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pacific University(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 4-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nara Club(home) | 4-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Fujieda MYFC(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ehime FC win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Ehime FC 2-0 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Ehime FC 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Ehime FC | J2 League |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Ehime FC 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 Ehime FC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi on Jun 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ehime FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ehime FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ehime FC sit 2nd in J3 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ehime FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
- The Footlab model makes Ehime FC the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
- Where and when is Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
- Ehime FC vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on October 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ningineer Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026FC GifuvsSagamihara
- Oct 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsGainare Tottori
- Oct 21, 2026Tochigi SCvsBiwako Shiga
- Oct 21, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKanazawa
- Oct 21, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsKochi United
- Oct 21, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsKitakyushu
- Oct 21, 2026Parceiro NaganovsFC Ryukyu