Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League3Kick-off on October 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Aviva Stadium, Dublin
The Footlab model makes Rep. Of Ireland the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Austria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
Austria starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,688 vs 1,549).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rep. Of Ireland have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Austria have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Canada(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2026 | Qatar(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 16, 2026 | Grenada(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Czechia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria(away) | 3-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Jordan(home) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Tunisia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | South Korea(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Rep. Of Ireland win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Austria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 2017 | Rep. Of Ireland 1-1 Austria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Austria 0-1 Rep. Of Ireland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria on Jun 11, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Rep. Of Ireland score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Austria score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rep. Of Ireland | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Austria | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
- The Footlab model makes Rep. Of Ireland the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Austria.
- Where and when is Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria played?
- Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria is played on October 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Aviva Stadium, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.