Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
The Footlab model makes Riga FC II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Rīgas FS II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Riga FC II (1,408) and Rīgas FS II (1,398).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga FC II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rīgas FS II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-12 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Riga FC II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rīgas FS II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Rīgas FS II 1-3 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Rīgas FS II 1-0 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Riga FC II 2-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Riga FC II 1-1 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Rīgas FS II 3-0 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Rīgas FS II 1-2 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rīgas FS II vs Riga FC II on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riga FC II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rīgas FS II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rīgas FS II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga FC II sit 9th in 1. Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Rīgas FS II sit 10th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II?
- The Footlab model makes Riga FC II the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Rīgas FS II.
- Where and when is Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II played?
- Riga FC II vs Rīgas FS II is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mežaparks Sports Village, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.