Tukums II vs Super Nova 2: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, Tukums
The Footlab AI model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Tukums II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Super Nova 2 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tukums II vs Super Nova 2?
Super Nova 2 starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,403 vs 1,262).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tukums II vs Super Nova 2
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tukums II
Not enough data to predict the Tukums II lineup.
Super Nova 2
Not enough data to predict the Super Nova 2 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tukums II have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Super Nova 2 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Tukums II wins, 0 draws, 1 Super Nova 2 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Super Nova 2 3-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Super Nova 2 vs Tukums II on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tukums II score 1.1 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 15; Super Nova 2 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums II | 1.1 | 3.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Super Nova 2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tukums II sit 11th in 1. Liga (18 points from 22 matches) and Super Nova 2 sit 8th (26 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 26 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 63 | 18 |
A question about Tukums II vs Super Nova 2?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tukums II vs Super Nova 2?
- The Footlab AI model makes Super Nova 2 the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Tukums II.
- Where and when is Tukums II vs Super Nova 2 played?
- Tukums II vs Super Nova 2 is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.