Skanste vs Smiltene: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hanzas vidusskolas laukums, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Skanste the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Smiltene. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skanste vs Smiltene?
On Elo ratings, Skanste has 1,403 points and Smiltene 1,322.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Skanste vs Smiltene
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Skanste
4-3-3- 11O. Bekeris
- 6O. Kellers
- 7L. Livcans
- 13E. Gauris
- 17G. Belickis
- 18M. Kletskiy
- 21K. Simpermanis
- 20O. Likas
- 9D. Petersons
- 8R. Linavskis
- 24T. Tolmanis
Smiltene
Not enough data to predict the Smiltene lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skanste have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Smiltene have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 4-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 6-2 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Skanste wins, 1 draw, 1 Smiltene win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Smiltene 2-4 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Smiltene 1-2 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Skanste 1-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Skanste 0-3 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Smiltene 0-3 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Skanste 3-0 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Skanste score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skanste | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Smiltene | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skanste sit 7th in 1. Liga (26 points from 22 matches) and Smiltene sit 10th (19 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Skanste | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 44 | 26 |
| 10 | Smiltene | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 59 | 19 |
A question about Skanste vs Smiltene?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skanste vs Smiltene?
- The Footlab AI model makes Skanste the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Smiltene.
- Where and when is Skanste vs Smiltene played?
- Skanste vs Smiltene is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hanzas vidusskolas laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.