Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Daugavas Stadionā, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Leevon / PPK. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK?
Metta / LU starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,534).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metta / LU
4-3-3- 11P. Amoah
- 17O. Dzenitis
- 21K. Abdulraheem
- 27K. Cēsnieks
- 10R. Kļavinskis
- 15Daniils Cinajevs
- 5I. Minkevičs
- 4K. Vilnis
- 13D. Petersons
- 16O. Likas
- 1K. Plavins
Leevon / PPK
Not enough data to predict the Leevon / PPK lineup.
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metta / LU have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Leevon / PPK have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 7-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 6-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 6-3 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Metta / LU win, 0 draws, 0 Leevon / PPK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Leevon / PPK 1-3 Metta / LU | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Leevon / PPK vs Metta / LU on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metta / LU score 4.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta / LU | 4.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metta / LU sit 1st in 1. Liga (54 points from 21 matches) and Leevon / PPK sit 3rd (49 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 54 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 49 |
A question about Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 83%, against 11% for a draw and 6% for Leevon / PPK.
- Where and when is Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK played?
- Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Daugavas Stadionā, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.