Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Daugavas Stadionā, Riga
The Footlab model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Leevon / PPK. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK?
Metta / LU starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,495).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metta / LU have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Leevon / PPK have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Riga(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 12-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Tukums II(home) | 9-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Metta / LU win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leevon / PPK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Leevon / PPK 1-3 Metta / LU | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Leevon / PPK vs Metta / LU on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metta / LU score 4.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta / LU | 4.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metta / LU sit 1st in 1. Liga (25 points from 10 matches) and Leevon / PPK sit 2nd (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 9 | 25 |
| 1 | Metta / LU | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 44 |
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK?
- The Footlab model makes Metta / LU the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Leevon / PPK.
- Where and when is Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK played?
- Metta / LU vs Leevon / PPK is played on October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Daugavas Stadionā, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.