Riga Mariners vs Progress / AFA Olaine: result 6-1 and analysis
CupRound of 16Kick-off on July 11, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Rīga (Riga)
Full time
What was the result of Riga Mariners vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Riga Mariners won 6-1 on July 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 39′A. GrazisRiga Mariners
- 48′564948Riga Mariners
- 51′E. BokansRiga Mariners
- 63′K. PantelejevsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 65′A. GrazisRiga Mariners (pen.)
- 67′A. GrazisRiga Mariners
- 81′564974Riga Mariners
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Riga Mariners have 10 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Progress / AFA Olaine have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2025 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Smiltene(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 4-3 | Cup |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 5-2 | 1. Liga |
| May 30, 2025 | Upesciema Warriors(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Mārupe(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Pļaviņas / DM(away) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Augšdaugava(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Riga Mariners win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Progress / AFA Olaine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Progress / AFA Olaine 1-5 Riga Mariners | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Progress / AFA Olaine vs Riga Mariners on Apr 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Riga Mariners score 2.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.7 and concede 2.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga Mariners | 2.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/14 | 11/14 |
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy