Riga vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadions Skonto, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Riga. The most likely score is 1-1. If FK Jablonec wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga vs FK Jablonec?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Riga (2,037) and FK Jablonec (2,082).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Riga vs FK Jablonec
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Riga
4-2-3-1- 10Reginaldo Ramires
- 40A. Ankrah
- 18S. Oulad M'Hand
- 22M. Diop
- 99Caio
- 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
- 5K. Wassom
- 23M. Toņiševs
- 17A. Salazar
- 34A. Černomordijs
- 12K. Pirić
FK Jablonec
4-4-1-1- 44L. Jawo
- 13R. Sedláček
- 7V. Tchanturishvili
- 25S. Nebyla
- 36G. Kuol
- 21M. Polidar
- 18M. Cedidla
- 4N. Tekijaški
- 15D. Pavlović
- 23E. Sobol
- 1J. Hanuš
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aris(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dukla Praha(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Riga score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Riga vs FK Jablonec?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Riga.
- Where and when is Riga vs FK Jablonec played?
- Riga vs FK Jablonec is played on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadions Skonto, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.