Danubio vs Central Espanol: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Danubio the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Central Espanol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Danubio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Danubio vs Central Espanol?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Danubio (1,730) and Central Espanol (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Danubio vs Central Espanol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Danubio
4-4-2- 77B. Tomatis
- 30S. Fernández
- 10M. Peralta
- 8S. Rodríguez
- 16I. Rossi
- 38J. Trasante
- 4M. Rinaldi
- 6L. Sosa
- 19M. Brasil
- 31T. Cavanagh
- 1M. Goicoechea
Central Espanol
4-2-3-1- 10M. Aguilera
- 21L. Pino
- 24G. Gandolfo
- 4M. Montiel
- 16I. Méndez
- 7F. Munoz
- 26Nunes Cesar
- 17L. Fernández
- 14A. Villoldo
- 5M. Gonzalez
- 12F. Pintado
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Danubio have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Central Espanol have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oriental(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Danubio wins, 3 draws, 2 Central Espanol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Central Espanol 2-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2021 | Danubio 1-1 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Jun 2, 2021 | Central Espanol 0-0 Danubio | Segunda División |
| May 4, 2013 | Danubio 0-2 Central Espanol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Central Espanol 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Central Espanol vs Danubio on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Danubio score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Central Espanol score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Central Espanol | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Danubio sit 13th in Primera División (7 points from 10 matches) and Central Espanol sit 16th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Danubio vs Central Espanol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Danubio vs Central Espanol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Danubio the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Central Espanol.
- Where and when is Danubio vs Central Espanol played?
- Danubio vs Central Espanol is played on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.