Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto played?

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Roasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Roasso Kumamoto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,700).

Thespakusatsu Gunma win37 %

Draw27 %

Roasso Kumamoto win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	1-4	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Tohoku Gakuin University(away)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Sagamihara(home)	1-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	0-1	J3 League

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 29, 2024	Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto	J2 League
Mar 3, 2024	Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League
Jul 5, 2023	Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto	J2 League
May 3, 2023	Roasso Kumamoto 2-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League
Oct 8, 2022	Roasso Kumamoto 5-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League
May 25, 2022	Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-3 Roasso Kumamoto	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto on Sep 29, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Thespakusatsu Gunma	1.7	1.9	2	11/15	11/15
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2
20	Thespakusatsu Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?: The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto played?: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on September 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.