Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kanazawa: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Shoda Shoyu Stadium, Maebashi
The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Kanazawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kanazawa?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663) and Kanazawa (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Kanazawa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 4-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tochigi SC(away) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kanazawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kanazawa 4-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Kanazawa 1-3 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-1 Kanazawa | J3 League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-1 Kanazawa | J2 League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Kanazawa 1-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Kanazawa 2-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kanazawa vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kanazawa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Kanazawa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kanazawa sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kanazawa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kanazawa?
- The Footlab model makes Thespakusatsu Gunma the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Kanazawa.
- Where and when is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kanazawa played?
- Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kanazawa is played on May 3, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.