Where and when is Lucchese vs Robur Siena played?

Lucchese vs Robur Siena is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lucchese vs Robur Siena: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

Lucchese

Robur Siena

The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Robur Siena. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Robur Siena?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,736) and Robur Siena (1,754).

Lucchese win39 %

Draw29 %

Robur Siena win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Robur Siena have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2025	Sestri Levante(home)	1-0	Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025	Sestri Levante(away)	1-2	Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025	Torres(home)	3-2	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025	Arezzo(away)	1-4	Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025	Vis Pesaro(home)	1-0	Serie C - Girone B

Robur Siena
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Donato Tavarnelle(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Scandicci(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Prato(away)	1-3	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Sporting Trestina(home)	4-4	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Camaiore(away)	5-2	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lucchese win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Robur Siena win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2023	Lucchese 1-1 Robur Siena	Serie C - Girone B
Nov 13, 2022	Robur Siena 0-1 Lucchese	Serie C - Girone B
Mar 27, 2022	Robur Siena 1-1 Lucchese	Serie C - Girone B
Nov 21, 2021	Lucchese 1-0 Robur Siena	Serie C - Girone B
Mar 16, 2019	Robur Siena 1-0 Lucchese	Serie C - Girone A
Nov 18, 2018	Lucchese 2-3 Robur Siena	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lucchese vs Robur Siena on Mar 14, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lucchese	1.7	1.6	4	11/15	9/15
Robur Siena	2.6	1.4	4	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Robur Siena	34	17	9	8	57	35	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Robur Siena?: The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Robur Siena.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Robur Siena played?: Lucchese vs Robur Siena is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.