Rochdale vs Cheltenham: result 4-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 21, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Rochdale vs Cheltenham?
Rochdale won 4-1 on December 21, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 38′Bobby GrantRochdale
- 45′Ashley GrimesRochdale
- 48′Phil EdwardsCheltenham (o.g.)
- 67′Ashley GrimesRochdale
- 69′B. AdebolaRochdale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cheltenham have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2012 | Aldershot Town(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Exeter City(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Dec 1, 2012 | York(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2012 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 11, 2012 | Hereford United(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Northampton(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2012 | Hereford United(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Barnet(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 23rd in League Two (0 points from 2 matches) and Cheltenham sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 23 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy