Rochefort vs Gent: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Parc des Roches, Rochefort
The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Rochefort. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gent wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochefort vs Gent?
Gent starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,086 vs 1,920).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochefort vs Gent
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochefort
Not enough data to predict the Rochefort lineup.
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 45B. Goore
- 57M. Volckaert
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 5M. Ngom
- 33D. Roef
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochefort have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gent have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Meux(away) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | RWDM(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Rochefort wins, 0 draws, 1 Gent win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2024 | Gent 7-0 Rochefort | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochefort score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochefort | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gent | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Rochefort vs Gent?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochefort vs Gent?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gent the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Rochefort.
- Where and when is Rochefort vs Gent played?
- Rochefort vs Gent is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Parc des Roches, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.