SC Braga vs Gent: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 2Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Gent. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga vs Gent?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (2,315 vs 2,086).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Braga vs Gent
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Braga
3-4-2-1- 10Pau Victor
- 8João Moutinho
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 11Gabriel Silva
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 29J. Gorby
- 34E. Tıknaz
- 6Vitor Carvalho
- 44A. Bajrami
- 22Sergio Barcia
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Gent
3-4-2-1- 11M. Sonko
- 20Tiago Araújo
- 17M. Delorge-Knieper
- 27T. De Vlieger
- 22Leonardo Lopes
- 45B. Goore
- 57M. Volckaert
- 16C. Burgess
- 44S. Van der Heyden
- 5M. Ngom
- 33D. Roef
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gent have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Standard Liege(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SC Braga wins, 2 draws, 0 Gent wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2016 | Gent 2-2 SC Braga | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 15, 2016 | SC Braga 1-1 Gent | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gent score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gent | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about SC Braga vs Gent?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs Gent?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Gent.
- Where and when is SC Braga vs Gent played?
- SC Braga vs Gent is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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