Roskilde vs Thisted FC: result 2-3 and analysis
1. DivisionRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 6, 2017 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Roskilde Idrætspark, Roskilde
Full time
What was the result of Roskilde vs Thisted FC?
Thisted FC won 2-3 on August 6, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 9′Kristian Ladewig LindbergRoskilde
- 15′Robert LarsenRoskilde
- 44′M. AggerThisted FC
- 53′M. AggerThisted FC
- 76′Sonny JakobsenThisted FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roskilde have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Thisted FC have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2017 | Brabrand(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| May 27, 2017 | HB Koge(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| May 21, 2017 | FC Fredericia(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| May 14, 2017 | Fremad Amager(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| May 11, 2017 | Nykobing FC(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2017 | Viborg(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2016 | Aalborg Freja(away) | 2-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 1, 2015 | Sonderjyske(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 11, 2015 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 7-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 12, 2014 | Lindholm(away) | 5-7 | DBU Pokalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Roskilde score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Thisted FC score 3.1 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roskilde | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Thisted FC | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 7/8 | 8/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy