Verl vs Hoffenheim II: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl vs Hoffenheim II?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Verl (1,952) and Hoffenheim II (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Hoffenheim II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Verl win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hoffenheim II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Verl 3-1 Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Hoffenheim II 2-4 Verl | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Verl vs Hoffenheim II on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Hoffenheim II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl sit 19th in 3. Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Hoffenheim II sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hoffenheim II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl vs Hoffenheim II?
- The Footlab model makes Verl the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Hoffenheim II.
- Where and when is Verl vs Hoffenheim II played?
- Verl vs Hoffenheim II is played on March 16, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 16, 2027Preußen MünstervsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Mar 16, 2027SV WehenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Mar 16, 2027Hansa RostockvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 16, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsMSV Duisburg
- Mar 16, 2027Rot-Weiß EssenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Mar 16, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Mar 16, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsWürzburger Kickers
- Mar 16, 2027HavelsevsSV Meppen