Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04

Rot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,924) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win52 %

Draw21 %

Rot-Weiß Essen win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Nov 8, 2025	FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Feb 22, 2025	Rot-Weiß Essen 2-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Sep 21, 2024	FC Ingolstadt 04 2-2 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Apr 28, 2024	Rot-Weiß Essen 4-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Nov 25, 2023	FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen?: The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.