ROW Rybnik vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Rybnik
The Footlab model makes ROW Rybnik the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ROW Rybnik vs SKRA Częstochowa?
SKRA Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ROW Rybnik have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
ROW Rybnik score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROW Rybnik | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ROW Rybnik vs SKRA Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes ROW Rybnik the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for SKRA Częstochowa.
- Where and when is ROW Rybnik vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
- ROW Rybnik vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsMiedź Legnica II
- Oct 24, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsStilon Gorzów
- Oct 24, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 24, 2026Warta GorzówvsKluczbork
- Oct 24, 2026Carina GubinvsSparta Katowice
- Oct 24, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSłowianin
- Oct 24, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsStal Brzeg
- Oct 24, 2026Barycz SułówvsŚlęza Wrocław