Royal Vision vs Kayanza United: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab model makes Royal Vision the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kayanza United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Royal Vision vs Kayanza United?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Royal Vision (1,541) and Kayanza United (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Royal Vision have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kayanza United have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Aigle Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Royal Vision win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kayanza United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Royal Vision 1-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Kayanza United 1-3 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Royal Vision 9-2 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Kayanza United 3-1 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Royal Vision vs Kayanza United on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Royal Vision score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Vision | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Royal Vision sit 4th in Ligue A (3 points from 1 matches) and Kayanza United sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Royal Vision | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Royal Vision vs Kayanza United?
- The Footlab model makes Royal Vision the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Kayanza United.
- Where and when is Royal Vision vs Kayanza United played?
- Royal Vision vs Kayanza United is played on October 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.