Aigle Noir vs Inter Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Peace Park Progress, Makamba
The Footlab model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Inter Star. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aigle Noir vs Inter Star?
Aigle Noir starts as the favourite with a 294-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aigle Noir have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Inter Star have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Garage Express(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Aigle Noir win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Inter Star win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Aigle Noir 2-1 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Inter Star 1-2 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| May 7, 2025 | Inter Star 0-1 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Aigle Noir 1-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Aigle Noir 1-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Inter Star 0-0 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Aigle Noir vs Inter Star on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aigle Noir score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Star score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aigle Noir | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Inter Star | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aigle Noir sit 2nd in Ligue A (3 points from 1 matches) and Inter Star sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aigle Noir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aigle Noir vs Inter Star?
- The Footlab model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Inter Star.
- Where and when is Aigle Noir vs Inter Star played?
- Aigle Noir vs Inter Star is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Peace Park Progress, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.